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Red135
17652.4
15752.0
Blue50
57150.8
99912.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11256015020025013550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
Unranked
52.42.2
53.555.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
571
Unranked
50.80.9
48.647.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
157
Unranked
52.02.2
52.754.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 39.8
999
Unranked
12.21.3
13.512.2
Auto
Teleop
End