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Red110
17346.1
140933.9
Blue115
9626.8
2041.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81550100150200110115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
Unranked
46.12.4
48.050.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
20
Unranked
41.86.2
35.641.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1409
Unranked
33.93.4
30.533.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
96
Unranked
26.86.7
22.329.0
Auto
Teleop
End