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Red85
34329.5
37938.5
Blue100
12658.9
25318.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6283010015020025030035085100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
Unranked
38.51.5
36.738.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.4
126
Unranked
58.91.4
61.562.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
343
Unranked
29.51.5
27.929.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
253
Unranked
18.11.4
19.621.0
Auto
Teleop
End