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Red100
138827.0
93041.8
Blue140
9637.0
14832.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67600204080100120140100140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
Unranked
41.82.6
41.243.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
96
Unranked
37.06.0
28.634.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1388
Unranked
27.02.6
24.527.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
148
Unranked
32.76.0
31.737.7
Auto
Teleop
End