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Red10
87123.8
90220.8
Blue60
69436.2
58233.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions417101001502002501060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
871
Unranked
23.82.6
24.922.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.4
694
Unranked
36.20.6
37.136.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
902
Unranked
20.82.8
19.216.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.3
582
Unranked
33.00.6
30.930.3
Auto
Teleop
End