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Qual 1062004 Curie Division
Red120
29261.2
139813.1
Blue85
61439.0
127837.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87862040608010012014016012085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
Unranked
61.22.5
75.2→77.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 22.2
614
Unranked
39.00.2
43.0→42.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1398
Unranked
13.12.5
11.2→13.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 24.5
1278
Unranked
37.60.2
44.5→44.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—