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Red40
30252.6
124329.1
Blue25
109725.8
20316.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85370501001502002504025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
Unranked
52.63.0
50.948.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.8
1097
Unranked
25.81.3
22.721.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1243
Unranked
29.13.0
28.525.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
203
Unranked
16.02.2
19.617.4
Auto
Teleop
End