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Red90
33732.7
17560.3
Blue120
12658.9
138827.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions738305015020025030035040090120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
Unranked
60.31.2
54.956.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
126
Unranked
58.92.9
61.264.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
337
Unranked
32.71.2
19.120.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
1388
Unranked
27.03.8
20.624.4
Auto
Teleop
End