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Red15
13845.5
48115.8
Blue125
23365.7
49822.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5498015020025015125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
Unranked
45.55.5
41.736.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.2
233
Unranked
65.72.4
62.564.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
481
Unranked
15.84.4
17.413.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
498
Unranked
22.43.4
30.634.1
Auto
Teleop
End