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Red60
2243.6
84227.9
Blue15
20316.0
93041.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595302040801001201406015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22
Unranked
43.60.1
30.330.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
930
Unranked
41.83.9
39.435.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
842
Unranked
27.90.2
27.928.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
203
Unranked
16.04.2
14.110.0
Auto
Teleop
End