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Red10
102925.3
49822.4
Blue100
111460.9
90220.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4871010015010100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1029
Unranked
25.33.1
20.617.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 35.6
1114
Unranked
60.92.4
48.651.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
498
Unranked
22.43.7
30.226.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
902
Unranked
20.83.4
19.823.2
Auto
Teleop
End