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Red30
31229.5
84227.9
Blue135
44936.2
96746.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6371010020030040030135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
312
Unranked
29.52.5
36.133.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.1
967
Unranked
46.56.5
35.542.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
842
Unranked
27.92.8
27.724.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.4
449
Unranked
36.25.4
34.239.7
Auto
Teleop
End