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Red115
111460.9
6142.1
Blue150
29261.2
33732.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1009850150115150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
Unranked
60.91.2
52.954.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
292
Unranked
61.23.8
71.475.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
61
Unranked
42.11.2
46.047.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
337
Unranked
32.73.8
27.731.6
Auto
Teleop
End