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Red40
31311.3
40639.9
Blue15
21723.6
121.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585101001502004015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
406
Unranked
39.91.3
43.842.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.4
217
Unranked
23.64.3
27.923.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
313
Unranked
11.31.9
13.811.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.3
1
Unranked
21.52.8
24.321.5
Auto
Teleop
End