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Red70
100015.4
118829.4
Blue15
5575.7
12867.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49801001507015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1188
Unranked
29.41.9
26.328.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.1
1286
Unranked
7.30.2
7.17.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1000
Unranked
15.42.5
18.721.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
557
Unranked
5.70.2
5.55.7
Auto
Teleop
End