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Red10
106817.7
6154.5
Blue35
66538.5
136816.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565101001502002501035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61
Unranked
54.55.7
39.133.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.0
665
Unranked
38.52.0
33.731.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1068
Unranked
17.75.7
16.711.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1368
Unranked
16.82.0
17.515.5
Auto
Teleop
End