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Red30
106214.7
87428.5
Blue10
5883.3
18020.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273602060801001203010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
874
Unranked
28.50.3
20.120.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
180
Unranked
20.23.1
27.023.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1062
Unranked
14.70.3
7.47.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
588
Unranked
3.33.1
7.64.5
Auto
Teleop
End