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Red20
12987.8
140616.1
Blue40
146616.7
8667.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30310204060802040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1406
Unranked
16.11.3
15.914.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1466
Unranked
16.71.3
19.120.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1298
Unranked
7.81.3
14.913.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
866
Unranked
7.01.3
10.812.1
Auto
Teleop
End