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Red20
112715.1
143615.2
Blue15
141412.6
100713.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29340204060801002015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1436
Unranked
15.21.2
16.815.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1007
Unranked
13.42.3
17.014.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1127
Unranked
15.11.2
13.011.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1414
Unranked
12.62.3
16.213.9
Auto
Teleop
End