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Red125
118029.1
131125.6
Blue75
130424.4
105144.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4047020608010012014012575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1180
Unranked
29.110.5
21.632.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.3
1051
Unranked
44.43.6
30.634.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1311
Unranked
25.610.5
19.429.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1304
Unranked
24.43.6
16.019.6
Auto
Teleop
End