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Red30
11779.4
137126.0
Blue10
126317.9
129711.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454002060801001201403010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1371
Unranked
26.01.8
30.929.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
1263
Unranked
17.93.9
21.918.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1177
Unranked
9.41.8
13.311.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
1297
Unranked
11.33.9
18.915.1
Auto
Teleop
End