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Red65
23035.5
15740.9
Blue130
68632.2
86842.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions897005010015020065130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
Unranked
40.91.6
49.748.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
868
Unranked
42.14.8
44.048.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
230
Unranked
35.51.6
37.235.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
686
Unranked
32.24.4
27.832.2
Auto
Teleop
End