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Red150
130548.1
22269.7
Blue20
18424.3
97147.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1188005010015020025015020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
Unranked
69.72.7
68.971.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.1
971
Unranked
47.64.8
55.450.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1305
Unranked
48.12.7
45.448.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.8
184
Unranked
24.34.8
29.124.3
Auto
Teleop
End