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Red40
13527.5
90424.7
Blue70
93824.8
54832.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565302040801001201404070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
Unranked
27.51.1
28.627.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
548
Unranked
32.21.1
31.032.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
904
Unranked
24.71.1
25.724.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
938
Unranked
24.81.1
23.624.8
Auto
Teleop
End