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Red120
83031.7
85246.0
Blue35
9349.0
103137.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7010705015020025012035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
852
Unranked
46.03.4
46.149.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
93
Unranked
49.05.1
61.256.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
830
Unranked
31.73.4
28.331.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
1031
Unranked
37.05.1
42.137.0
Auto
Teleop
End