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Red50
98064.3
34122.5
Blue65
6430.4
4920.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions864601001502005065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
980
Unranked
64.32.4
49.046.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 33.8
64
Unranked
30.41.1
28.129.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
341
Unranked
22.52.4
32.830.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
49
Unranked
20.01.1
22.723.7
Auto
Teleop
End