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Red125
17733.0
101429.3
Blue25
5924.5
13527.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6542010015020012525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
Unranked
33.04.7
29.934.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
135
Unranked
27.51.5
28.627.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1014
Unranked
29.36.2
32.939.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
59
Unranked
24.52.0
16.214.2
Auto
Teleop
End