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Red115
86842.1
44739.6
Blue60
78251.5
139322.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6564020408010012014011560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
Unranked
42.16.4
31.237.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
782
Unranked
51.50.6
44.644.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
447
Unranked
39.63.9
32.336.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.1
1393
Unranked
22.50.4
21.120.7
Auto
Teleop
End