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Red40
140545.8
83031.7
Blue135
22269.7
23035.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7110005015020025030035040135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1405
Unranked
45.84.0
40.036.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.0
222
Unranked
69.72.9
64.267.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
830
Unranked
31.72.6
34.131.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
230
Unranked
35.53.8
32.436.3
Auto
Teleop
End