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Red55
58716.1
36531.9
Blue70
30412.5
78251.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30670501001505570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
Unranked
31.91.6
20.221.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.7
782
Unranked
51.50.5
48.248.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
587
Unranked
16.12.5
13.616.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
304
Unranked
12.50.7
15.115.8
Auto
Teleop
End