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Red80
97147.6
45724.5
Blue145
110840.6
24538.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677305010015020080145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
Unranked
47.61.0
49.350.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
1108
Unranked
40.65.5
37.743.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
457
Unranked
24.51.1
18.419.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.9
245
Unranked
38.55.5
34.640.1
Auto
Teleop
End