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Red120
113210.1
36531.9
Blue20
115719.6
5924.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3459010015020025012020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
Unranked
31.96.2
29.335.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
59
Unranked
24.52.7
25.222.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1132
Unranked
10.17.6
7.915.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.5
1157
Unranked
19.63.1
31.528.4
Auto
Teleop
End