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Red130
6430.4
97147.6
Blue20
1208.3
68632.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions843205010015020013020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
Unranked
47.63.9
51.655.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.5
686
Unranked
32.21.5
29.327.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
64
Unranked
30.43.9
26.630.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.1
120
Unranked
8.31.3
8.67.3
Auto
Teleop
End