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Red130
100027.9
88030.5
Blue120
132726.6
11157.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44880100150200130120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
880
Unranked
30.510.2
24.334.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.1
111
Unranked
57.63.1
61.364.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1000
Unranked
27.96.1
24.430.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1327
Unranked
26.64.6
21.626.3
Auto
Teleop
End