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Red30
53731.3
6535.4
Blue20
44732.3
13528.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765001001503020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65
Unranked
35.43.6
37.834.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
447
Unranked
32.32.7
32.930.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
537
Unranked
31.33.9
35.331.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
135
Unranked
28.63.0
20.017.0
Auto
Teleop
End