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Red125
87133.7
54528.7
Blue35
49629.3
56619.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3646020608010012014016012535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
871
Unranked
33.711.0
16.127.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
496
Unranked
29.31.3
28.927.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
545
Unranked
28.711.0
21.232.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
566
Unranked
19.41.3
16.114.9
Auto
Teleop
End