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Red60
26331.8
51425.2
Blue90
2836.6
101922.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485401001506090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
Unranked
31.81.4
28.429.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
28
Unranked
36.64.6
39.043.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
514
Unranked
25.21.4
20.421.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1019
Unranked
22.84.6
14.619.1
Auto
Teleop
End