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Red110
101922.8
57028.4
Blue30
54528.7
13587.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484902040608010012011030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
570
Unranked
28.47.2
24.631.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
545
Unranked
28.72.3
33.431.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1019
Unranked
22.87.2
24.031.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.1
1358
Unranked
7.72.3
14.912.6
Auto
Teleop
End