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Red40
8826.2
35834.9
Blue50
27017.4
56416.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6713040801001201401604050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
Unranked
34.92.5
37.935.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.5
270
Unranked
17.43.6
8.712.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
88
Unranked
26.21.6
23.121.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
564
Unranked
16.53.6
10.313.9
Auto
Teleop
End