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Red70
26331.8
8826.2
Blue140
46738.5
31154.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54107015020070140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
Unranked
31.81.0
35.236.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.7
311
Unranked
54.52.9
63.366.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
88
Unranked
26.20.8
24.825.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.3
467
Unranked
38.52.9
37.740.6
Auto
Teleop
End