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Red40
56619.4
27117.7
Blue125
49629.3
56947.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions368205010015040125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
566
Unranked
19.40.1
23.223.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.1
569
Unranked
47.54.8
49.153.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
271
Unranked
17.70.1
17.817.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.6
496
Unranked
29.35.2
28.133.3
Auto
Teleop
End