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Quarterfinal 3-12004 Chesapeake Regional
Red80
140540.0
1650.7
44934.5
Blue140
34537.7
16537.0
22523.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12310305015020025030080140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
Unranked
50.71.0
49.5→48.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 13.0
345
Unranked
37.70.9
40.1→40.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1405
Unranked
40.01.6
38.2→36.6
Auto—
Teleop—
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red by 2.9
165
Unranked
37.00.9
39.4→40.3
Auto—
Teleop—
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Third
449
Unranked
34.51.6
32.7→31.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.2
225
Unranked
23.30.9
25.7→26.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—