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Quarterfinal 3-22004 Chesapeake Regional
Red100
140540.0
1650.7
44934.5
Blue50
34537.7
16537.0
22523.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11710705015020025030035010050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
Unranked
50.70.4
48.5→48.1
Auto—
Teleop—
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red by 13.0
345
Unranked
37.71.4
40.9→39.5
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Teleop—
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Second
1405
Unranked
40.00.6
36.6→36.0
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Teleop—
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red by 2.9
165
Unranked
37.01.4
40.3→38.9
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Teleop—
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Third
449
Unranked
34.50.6
31.1→30.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.2
225
Unranked
23.31.4
26.6→25.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—