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Red30
11620.2
118418.4
Blue60
40523.7
146419.3
31%Model gave it69%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2346060801001201403060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116
Unranked
20.20.5
17.818.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
405
Unranked
23.72.1
25.127.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1184
Unranked
18.40.5
8.18.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
1464
Unranked
19.31.0
19.320.3
Auto
Teleop
End