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Red85
131922.1
68633.9
Blue20
127914.4
34812.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365002060801001201401608520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
Unranked
33.96.0
20.126.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.5
1279
Unranked
14.43.5
26.923.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1319
Unranked
22.16.0
17.323.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
348
Unranked
12.93.5
21.517.9
Auto
Teleop
End