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Red10
132013.2
29129.6
Blue85
146419.3
131922.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46480204060801001085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
291
Unranked
29.63.4
25.722.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
1319
Unranked
22.14.6
31.135.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1320
Unranked
13.24.6
20.916.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
1464
Unranked
19.34.6
16.721.4
Auto
Teleop
End