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Red110
68633.9
720.6
Blue25
139127.6
40523.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45550208010012014016011025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
Unranked
33.98.0
23.731.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
1391
Unranked
27.63.6
29.325.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
7
Unranked
20.65.8
22.728.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
405
Unranked
23.72.9
24.421.5
Auto
Teleop
End