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Red115
22523.3
140353.9
Blue70
121816.6
34537.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8847015020025011570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1403
Unranked
53.92.9
55.858.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.3
345
Unranked
37.71.8
36.938.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
225
Unranked
23.32.9
28.130.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
1218
Unranked
16.62.3
14.917.2
Auto
Teleop
End