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Red0
29326.7
44934.5
Blue35
30342.9
76812.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6861050100150200035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
Unranked
34.58.4
41.132.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.4
303
Unranked
42.92.0
49.647.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
293
Unranked
26.75.1
26.321.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.6
768
Unranked
12.12.0
12.510.4
Auto
Teleop
End