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Red40
139127.6
112314.6
Blue20
22523.3
11620.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47510204060801001201404020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
Unranked
27.60.9
28.527.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
225
Unranked
23.32.3
28.025.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1123
Unranked
14.60.9
18.917.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
116
Unranked
20.22.3
22.520.2
Auto
Teleop
End